Public lecture | From Reverend Bayes in the 18th century to the smartphone Event as iCalendar

13 February 2019


Venue: Lecture theatre SLT1

Location: Ground Floor, Building 303, 38 Princes Street

Host: Department of Statistics

Cost: Free

Professor Dr. Christine Müller, University of Dortmund, Germany
Professor Dr. Christine Müller, University of Dortmund, Germany

Reverend Bayes was searching for a proof of God's existence when he invented an experiment involving billiard balls.This experiment led him to a formula which is now known as Bayes’ formula.

With this formula, new information from an experiment can be easily included in a statistical analysis.  At first, the new resulting approach to statistical inference now called “Bayesian statistics” was not very widely accepted and there were many controversial discussions about this contentious new approach.

The first famous breakthrough by Bayesian statistics was in the Second World War where German submarines were detected and destroyed with this method. From then on, the number of applications in medicine, technology and economics exploded.

In this talk, Professor Dr. Christine Müller will take you through Bayes’ original experiment, then demonstrate the principle of Bayesian statistics via an example from genetics. Finally, she’ll show you how a smartphone can learn from inputs of the user by updating using Bayes’ principle.

About our speaker

Professor Dr. Christine Müller is Full Professor of Statistics with Applications in Engineering Sciences in the Faculty of Statistics of the University of Dortmund.

She is the chairwoman of the Deutsche Arbeitsgemeinschaft Statistik (DAGStat), the umbrella association of 14 German statistical societies and chief editor of the journal Statistical Papers.

She has wide research interests in robust statistics, experimental design, reliability, cluster analysis, image analysis, technometrics and biostatistics. She has been collaborating for many years with engineers on the statistical analysis of fatigue tests. 

She is the author of two books, Robust Planning and Analysis of Experiments and Statistics in the Engineering Sciences – An Introduction with R.

The lecture will be followed by afternoon tea in the Level 3 Common Area.