## at the University of AucklandProbability is the mathematical study of random phenomena. It has applications in diverse fields such as biology, finance, telecommunications and traffic networks, and is the theoretical basis for statistics. It is also a beautiful and increasingly important field of mathematics in its own right. Members of the probability group at U. Auckland are involved in research projects on modeling or mathematical analysis of random phenomena in statistical physics, traffic and queueing networks, patient flow in hospitals, the spread of opinion or of infection, and of non-parametric statistical tests.
## Members of the Probability GroupStaff
- Jesse Goodman
- Mark Holmes
- Ilze Ziedins
- Under construction
Students
- Niffe Hermansson
- Alex Wang
- Under construction
Affiliates
- Under construction
Courses
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Nov 30, 2015 | Jim Dai | Stein's Method and Hospital Inpatient Flow Management |

Nov 5, 2015 | Mark Holmes | I walk the line |

Oct 22, 2015 | Stats 721 students | 721 talks |

Feb 3, 2015 | Satoshi Handa | The Ising model and the random current representation |

Feb 3, 2015 | Jesse Goodman, Niffe Hermansson, and Maartje van de Vrugt | 3 talks on various processor sharing models |

January 13-14, 2015 | Andrew Barbour | Mini course on the Stein-Chen method of Poisson approximation |

January 12, 2015 | Andrew Barbour | Quantifying the law of small numbers |

3 Dec 2014 | Mark Holmes | Ballisticity for random walks in degenerate random environments |

20 Nov 2014 | Jesse Goodman | Three "multiscale" problems |

13 Nov 2014 | Emina Soljanin | Urns and Balls and Communications |

3 July 2014 | Alex Drewitz (Columbia) | Survival Probability of a Random Walk Among a Poisson System of Moving Traps |

29 May 2014 | Alex Wang | Selfish routing in a system of parallel queues |

11 February 2014 | Tom Salisbury (York) | The components of the Brownian complement are sort of round. |

11 February 2014 | Malwina Luczak (QM London) | Extinction Times in the Stochastic Logistic Epidemic |

Jan 6-10, 2014 | NZ probability workshop | |

12 December 2013 | Elena Yudovina (Minnesota) | Changepoint inference for network data |

28 November 2013 | Boris Miller (Monash) | Stochastic control of Markov chains based on complete and incomplete information |

25 November2013 | Niffe Hermansson | User Equilibria in systems of Processor Sharing queues |

4 July 2013 | Sergey Foss (Herriot-Watt) | Backward Coupling and Perfect Simulation for Markov Chains and Stochastic Recursions |

24 May 2013 | Estate Khmaladze (VUW) | A class of distribution free tests for discrete distributions |

3 April 2013 | Radka Pickova (Columbia) | Generalized Volatility-Stabilized Processes |

28 March 2013 | Raghu Varadhan (NYU/Courant) | Large deviations with applications to random graphs |

22 Jan. 2013 | Bernardo D'Auria (Madrid) | Optimal Threshold Strategies for Queues in Series |

11 Oct., 2012 | Jesse Goodman (Leiden) | The gaps left by a Brownian motion |

9 Aug., 2012 | Moshe Haviv (Hebrew U. Jerusalum) | Regulating arrivals to a queue |

12 June 2012 | Sterling Sawaya (Otago) | The probability of extinction in a branching process and its relationship with moments of the offspring distribution |

3 May 2012 | Geoffrey Grimmett (Cambridge) | Problems for the clairvoyant demon |

April 12-13, 2012 | Stochastic Networks Workshop | |

Jan. 23-27, 2012 | Australia and New Zealand Probability Workshop | |

Jan. 8-13, 2012 | NZMRI/NZIMA Summer Workshop: Random Media and Random Walks | |

23 Nov., 2011 | Peter Taylor (Melbourne) | Queues with advance reservations |

17 Nov., 2011 | Susan Pitts (Cambridge) | Nonparametric inference for an inverse queueing problem |

21 July, 2011 | Mark Holmes | a random Random Walk walk |

Feb. 28-March 1, 2011 | Auckland Mini Workshop in Probability | |

Feb. 15, 2011 | Tom Kurtz (Wisconsin) | Particle representations for continuum models Statistics Seminar Room 303.222 |